Are the Normal Risk Alerts affected by the general trend of the particular stock?

Yes. For a stock that has been in a prolonged downtrend, the Return-to-Normal Risk triggers often separate quite a bit from the previous closing price of the symbol, thus requiring significant move before it would trigger.  This assures a resumption of strength in an uptrend to signify the symbol has returned to a  more normal risk profile state.   The Return-to-Normal Risk Trigger can occur much quicker for a stock that has not experienced as...

I am using the Conservative SmartStops signals for my exits. If a Normal Risk Alert is signaled as the result of ending an aggressive period of elevated risk, does that effect my long term position?

That depends.  If you took no action based on the previous aggressive Elevated Risk signal then you can ignore that signal. However, the Return-to-Normal Risk Alert signal can be viewed as good news because it indicates that some short-term weakness that might have caused your long-term position to decline temporarily has now ended.

How effective are the SmartStops Normal Risk Alerts?

They will put probabilities on your side that an uptrend will continue.   However, there is no signaling system that can guarantee any future price movement for an equity.  Beware of any service that makes claims like that.   Our Return-to-Normal alert is a conservative approach and thus won’t necessarily catch the bottom of a trend.  One can design a more individual aggressive approach but the tradeoff there is potentially more...